The chief executive of Hays, Alistair Cox, has some worrying news for those in the public sector who work through umbrella companies and are worried about the loss of their contract.
The government is widely expected to wield the axe on up to 750,000 public sector workers in the next 5 years but the private sector is highly unlikely to be able to create enough new jobs to absorb them.
One measure outlined by Mr. Cox to encourage private sector growth would be for the government to abolish employers’ National Insurance contributions. This would enable companies to take on more staff. The coalition has already gone some way towards easing the NI burden for small businesses start-ups outside the south-east by granting a 12 month NI holiday on their first 10 employees.
The Treasury currently raises around £55bn from employers NI contributions and its abolition would leave a gaping hole in the government coffers.
As if that news isn’t depressing enough, the CEBR has more doom and gloom for people in the north of England. The Centre has predicted that 10% of northerners will be unemployed in the next five years. Economic output in the North-west, north-east, Yorkshire and the Humber and the West Midlands will fall whilst London and the South will get a larger share.
Manufacturing centres such as the West Midlands are already suffering more than other areas. Although the situation has improved strongly in recent months, it is still well below pre-recession levels.
The recruitment market has been showing signs of improvement but a large proportion of that is due to employees changing jobs rather than an influx of new jobs being created.
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